Income and Expenditures: Locating the Stress Points, Part II

Housing is the biggest component of the Consumer Price Index and the hardest to spend less on in the near term, because costs like rent and mortgage are fixed (unlike food, where buying fewer prepackaged or fast-food meals can generate considerable savings).  What people spend on housing pretty well reflects what they think they can afford over time. So how much has the cost of housing changed since 1999?

Income and Expenditures: Locating the Stress Points, Part I

Lots of patterns to detect from these tables. In both 1999 and 2015, lower-income folk spent quite a bit more than their reported pretax income - evidence that pretax income is not a very good indicator of actual financial resources. In both years, households in the top two income quintiles had more earners, fewer seniors and were bigger than households in lower quintiles.  It also appears that all income groups spent quite a bit more in 2015 than in 1999. So is life getting better overall for Americans? At this point, not enough data. Stay tuned.

Mitigation Measures for a Less Warm Planet, Part II: Energy Efficiency

But will the gains erode without additional mandates? I don't know. Sometimes you need to push to get the ball rolling, but do you need to continue pushing with the same force for the ball to accelerate? We're about to find out (or at least get some relevant data) from the US example, where the mandates are being emasculated.

Mitigation Measures for a Less Warm Planet, Part I

Unfortunately, a rise of 3.5°C could very well be catastrophic for our planet long before we even hit the 3.5 degree mark or get to 2100.  Better to keep warming within 1.5°C...

Staying within a 1.5° C Rise by 2100 is Still Possible Plus the Obligatory Warnings

So what did this 'carbon budget' paper actually say? That various climate models have projected slightly more warming for slightly less cumulative CO2 than what the authors have seen in the real world, so there’s a teeny bit more wiggle room for achieving the goal of no more than 1.5° C warming this century, assuming very aggressive Green House Gas (GHG) mitigation efforts.

How to Clear More Crimes and Make Life Better for Most of Us

High crime clearance rates are associated with lower crime rates. Translation:  more crimes solved, fewer crimes. While the causal pathways are complicated, deterrence appears to play a starring role. Basically, humans are less likely to transgress against the rules if they think they’ll be caught...

Crimes and Their Clearance Rates

Looking at Philadelphia, it appears that homicides vary with clearance rates after a lag time. For instance, the Philadelphia Homicide Unit reported a 70% clearance rate in 2012 and the following year homicides went down 26%...

Analyzing Crime Patterns: Hard but Fruitful Labor

One would think that per capita income would have a strong positive link to crime, other variables held constant. But when population was also included in in the data analysis, income lost its statistical significance, while population retained significance.

Rich Countries and Their Tax Systems

Keep in mind the above chart is about tax revenue, not tax rates. The average OECD tax revenue is 34.2% of a country's GDP. The US revenue take is 25.9%. Denmark's is the highest, at 49.6% of GDP. Take home: the USA doesn't tax its citizens all that much, compared to its OECD brethren.

What Kills Personal Initiative and Why Should We Care, Part II

Individuals who favor "avoidance goals" tend to feel less in control, less satisfied with their progress, and less competent than individuals with lots of "approach goals".  In other words,  their happiness feeder streams have become mere trickles.

What Kills Personal Initiative and Why Should We Care, Part I

Personal initiative is a proactive and goal-oriented mindset, characterized by long-term focus and persistence in the face of obstacles and setbacks.  Such a mindset is action-oriented, planful, and anticipatory: quickly turning goals into actions - with back-up plans ready just in case.

Dick Cheney, Paul Krugman, and Deficits

...the wisdom of deficit spending depends on the economic cycle. If stuck in a recession, deficit spending can be helpful to give the economy a boost. But...

Essentialize That!

Essence means "the basic, real, and invariable nature" of something. And it is in that sense that I see a tendency for some of us to interpret a person's moment of insensitivity, provocativeness or even hate as proof of their essence, as if whatever appeared to be benign or good-natured before was just a sham that obscured what the person "really" is.

Happiness and Its Feeder Streams

How do we find a balance between satisfaction with what is and wanting more?  Easy for an old person to say: it is enough. Not so when you’re young and chomping at the bit.

Life in the Restaurant Business

2.6%:  the median profit margin at an independently owned fast-food restaurant, about a percentage point more at a corporately-owned location

Inequality and Happiness, Part IV

Americans are still a fairly socially mobile people, but part of the population is stuck. What can the US government do to help these folk? Some ideas...

Inequality and Happiness, Part III

If I'm a roofer living in a working class neighborhood, I'm not measuring my status against super-rich CEOs or Hollywood superstars, I'm looking at how my relatives, neighbors, friends, associates, and fellow roofers are doing.