Of course, the sticker tax rate may not be the effective rate - what the taxpayer actually pays. Either way, the tax burden of the middle-class is rather large in the Top Ten “most progressive” countries, mostly due to their high income and consumption taxes. And that’s not necessarily a bad thing.
I’m more interested in the nuts and bolts of governing than in expressions of political sentiment. I don’t care if someone has the right values or cares about the right things. Give me specific goals and policy proposals. Want to eliminate poverty, hunger, homelessness, etc? Great! What’s the plan? And how are you going to pay for it?
I’m not sure that paying more than 30% of one’s income on housing necessarily means one is suffering financial hardship. That 30% threshold came from the early 1960s when Americans spent almost a quarter of their monthly expenditures on food. Today we spend half as much on food, so shouldn’t we be able to spend more on housing? Spending no more than 30% of one’s income on housing may still be ideal for most low-income households but many better-off households could afford to pay more, especially households in the upper-half of the income distribution.
Some employers are able to absorb minimum wage increases by increasing labor productivity - producing more output per worker. However, this isn’t possible in the childcare business, due to mandated staff-child ratios, which vary somewhat across states. So with large minimum wage increases, employers have little choice but to pass on the extra cost to the consumer, typically parents or government agencies. According to one estimate, a $15 minimum wage for childcare workers would increase US childcare costs by an average of 21 percent —an extra $310 per month for two children. But in some states the increase would be much higher, over $500 a month for two children.
Of course the minimum wage should be increased, but there is no justification for a one-size fits all approach. It makes more sense to yoke a state’s minimum wage to its median wage, at least for the initial reset, and then adjust annually for inflation. The minimum wage in developed countries is often between half and two-thirds of the median wage. For instance, minimum wage to median wage is 54% in Australia, 55% in the United Kingdom, and 63% in South Korea. For the US, I’m thinking a minimum wage of around 60% of each state’s median wage would be reasonable, rounded up to nearest dollar and with a few constraints, such as the new state minimum wage would not be less than the current one. Here’s what such a system might look like…
President Biden recently unveiled his plan to spend $109 billion over 10 years to make community college tuition-free. Biden also wants to increase the maximum Pell grant to $8,295 for the 2021-22 school year. The President’s proposals would certainly ease the financial strains of attending public community colleges, especially for low-income students who are most likely to qualify for the maximum Pell grants.
Our apprehension of reality is always subjective, in that what we perceive and pay attention to is guided by our desires, goals, expectations, and preconceived notions. But humans would not have survived without an ability to track the world outside their heads, the world as it is, aka the objective reality.
The Headlines:
“Almost 6 in 10 support Biden's American Families Plan: poll” by Dominick Mastrangelo/ The Hill. May 5, 2021
“Biden’s $1.8 Trillion American Families Plan Is Supported by Nearly 60% of Voters” by Claire Williams/Morning Consult. May 5, 2021
Housing wonks describe individuals who pay more than 30% of their income on housing as “cost-burdened”. So, who are these people, where do they live, and why can’t they find affordable housing?
Diversion is an intervention in the criminal justice system that provides offenders with a chance to avoid conviction and a criminal record by undergoing a period of community supervision. The study found that diversion for first-time felony offenders cut reoffending rates in half and increased employment rates by nearly 50% over 10 years.
As for Biden’s infrastructure plan, 59% of those surveyed in the NBC poll thought it was a good idea, 21% disagreed, and 19% had no opinion. Which got me thinking: what is it about the infrastructure plan that these people think is a good idea (or not)? Biden’s infrastructure plan is immense and involves dozens of large-scale projects, including …
The committee backed up their recommendations with results from a survey they had conducted of students and staff. The majority of people surveyed supported the position of School Resource Officer (SRO) , including 72% of Black students, 73% of Latino students, 77% of Asian students, and 62% of white students. White staff members were the most critical of the SRO role, with 54% opposing the position. No teachers and fewer than 6% of students found the SRO “hostile or mistrustful of kids.”
Why do so many Covid deaths go unreported? One reason is that most people die at home in developing countries and out-of-hospital deaths are rarely medically certified. For example, only around a fifth of all deaths are medically certified in India. Even in countries with substantial hospital data, cause-of-death is often misclassified, often a result of insufficient physician training. Sometimes, though, misclassification is deliberate, as in some hospitals in India, where officials have directed doctors to list cause-of-death as “sickness” and not Covid, possibly to avoid a panic. And then there’s Russia…
Non-native species are typically described as “invasive” species, clearly not a term of endearment. However, many biologists and conservationists are having a change of heart regarding these much-maligned “aliens” (another common descriptor): they’re not all bad - and some may even help native species survive and thrive, especially in biological communities under stress from habitat loss and a changing climate. A zero-tolerance approach to non-native species makes no sense when their effects are often neutral or positive.
Of course these five pathways don’t exhaust all possibilities. Personally I’d prefer something with more nuclear, less biomass, and lots of solar/wind - which doesn’t quite fit any of the distinct options provided by the Princeton group. But the study’s aim was more practical than encyclopedic, basically to help decision-makers implement well-informed and thoughtful climate change policies. Part of that service was to provide a strict accounting of the likely costs and savings generated by each decarbonization pathway.
Ideologies are typically inspired by utopian visions entailing a radical overhaul of the existing order - what I call the Big Solution. Problems like intrusive government, poverty, and environmental harm may drive initial attraction to a Big Solution, but in time the relationship between problem and solution changes. That is, where once the Big Solution was seen as a means to fixing problems, it eventually becomes an end in itself - one that requires Big Problems to justify. That’s because Big Solutions typically involve painful sacrifice (the darkness before the dawn). And that pain had better be worth it!
The US federal debt exploded last year. Between a battered economy and trillions in stimulus spending, it will take years to shrink the debt back to a manageable size. In the meantime, the Bold Centrist still wants to fix this country, focusing on six problem areas: healthcare, infrastructure, poverty, social mobility, housing, and threats to the biosphere. The challenge is how to fund the repair job without adding to the public debt or zapping economic growth.
That’s the problem on the micro-level: unhappy and struggling individuals and families. On the macro-level, we have a mismatch between worker skills and employer needs, which has led to chronic labor shortages - especially in the better-paying fields… These shortages not only hurt the company’s bottom line, they undermine labor productivity and economic growth. And the problem’s only going to get worse in the decades to come unless this country comes up with better ways to help people update their skills as needed to meet ever-changing employer demand.
Lifelong learning on a mass scale is in order.
The ASBI would mostly pay for itself through reduced spending on other government programs…An ASBI would not impact eligibility for some non-cash benefits such as housing and Medicaid, as well as any aid meant for children. However, ASBI recipients would have to pay somewhat more for their Medicaid premiums…. So how did I arrive at a cost of $2 a day in new taxes for the ASBI? Easy: tax increase of $216 billion divided by 328.3 million US residents = $658 = less than $2 a day/per Capita.
The advantage of the ASBI over Pell Grants and the Danish scheme is that it’s more flexible, less likely to impose economic hardship on recipients, and more likely to encourage skill building across adulthood. The ASBI wouldn’t force people to quit jobs to go to school and it would allow people to quit jobs to go to school.